It’s because the 2024 Senate map is just really bad for Democrats. What’s the deal with the 2024 Senate map? Of the 34 Senate seats up for election in 2024, Democrats (including independents who caucus with Democrats) currently hold 23, while Republicans hold only 11. Take 2022, when Republicans were defending 21 Senate seats and Democrats were defending just 14. By this metric, the 2024 Senate map is even worse for Democrats.
NBA The KD And Kyrie Trades Stole The Show At A Wild NBA Trade Deadline Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant never even came close to fulfilling their promise together in Brooklyn. Jonathan Bachman / Getty ImagesFor the second consecutive season, the Brooklyn Nets made a league-shaking deal at the NBA trade deadline. In all, the Nets had more superstar trade demands (four, including two by Durant) than playoff series wins (one) during the pair’s time together. The gravity he has as a shooter and scorer opens things up everywhere else on the floor; this has been consistent from season to season, and team to team. The timeline on the picks the Suns traded to get KD far outlasts Paul’s contract, and goes four years beyond Durant’s as well.1 month ago FiveThirtyEight
2022 Midterms Runoffs Are Sort Of Georgia’s Thing Now Can Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock pull off another win? PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / GETTY IMAGESNot all Senate runoffs are created equal. If Georgia is the deciding seat, parties will likely throw everything they have at the Georgia runoff, even with Walker’s obvious warts as a candidate. In fact, FiveThirtyEight’s Deluxe forecast, which was frozen early Tuesday morning, estimated that, in a runoff, Walker would win about 69 percent of the time. Sources: Georgia Secretary of StateBut in the 2021 runoffs, Democrats upended their tendency to lose ground in runoffs by gaining on their November performance and capturing two seats.4 months ago FiveThirtyEight
Affirmative Action The Supreme Court Could Overturn Another Major Precedent. PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY DAN DAO / GETTY IMAGESThe Supreme Court is poised to upend decades of precedent on affirmative action. Now, just months after the Supreme Court upended a decades-old precedent on abortion rights, the precedent on affirmative action is in peril. Although public opinion on abortion is complex, Americans mostly did not want the Supreme Court to overturn Roe v. Wade and end the constitutional right to abortion. So what does all of this mean for the Supreme Court?5 months ago FiveThirtyEight
But their electoral weight varies — for example, in Hawaii, because it’s a small state, Asian American voters make up more than half of eligible voters. “Both parties tend to think that Asian American voters vote uniformly,” said Rohan Vaidya, a 24-year-old Indian American living in Texas. AS: Do you identify more as an Asian American or as a member of a specific Asian American ethnic or racial group? Fahim: I identify more with a specific subset of the Asian American community, which is Pakistani or South Asian American. Beeson: I would normally say Asian American, but if someone asks me my specific ethnic or racial background, I’d say Chinese American.5 months ago FiveThirtyEight