It’s because the 2024 Senate map is just really bad for Democrats. What’s the deal with the 2024 Senate map? Of the 34 Senate seats up for election in 2024, Democrats (including independents who caucus with Democrats) currently hold 23, while Republicans hold only 11. Take 2022, when Republicans were defending 21 Senate seats and Democrats were defending just 14. By this metric, the 2024 Senate map is even worse for Democrats.
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